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Friday, January 8, 2010

Commodities plunge on strengthened dollar…

Commodities plunge on strengthened dollar…

The world's largest economy continues on suffering from the ongoing deterioration of the labor market that is constantly delaying the overall strong full recovery of the country from the ongoing downside pressures of the crisis, knowing that the FOMC minutes meeting that was held on December 15 of 2009 had in fact its members stating out that that the recovery path is gaining momentum throughout overall economical activities, nevertheless they agreed of course on the fact that the jobless rate remained quite crucial and elevated.

In fact, the U.S country posted further data belonging to the labor market today ahead of tomorrow's crucial Jobs report, having so far the US Initial Jobless Claims for January 2 rose faintly to 434 thousand, while that the Continuing Claims for December 26 plunged to 4802 thousand, indicating clearly that the slowdown in the job losses across the country continues on taking place on an extreme slow pace.

However, the Green Benjamin is gaining momentum throughout the currencies market today on strong technical movements and slender fears spread ahead of tomorrows jobs report that boosted up faintly the appeal of the dollar as a refuge, having in fact the dollar index, which tracks the strength of the dollar in front of a basket of currencies, inclining to trade so around 77.91 recording a high of 78.06 and a low of 77.26.As a result, the yellow precious metal prices are plunging today from their three-week high due to the today's strengthening of its green opponent, the dollar, knowing of course that these two have an inverse relation, having therefore gold trading at $1130.25 an ounce recording a high of $1138.92 an ounce and a low of $1128.35 an ounce, plus the commodity indices REUTERS/JEFFERIES CRB INDEX shed 0.87 points to 292.88.

Furthermore, the silver prices are narrow trading at $18.17 recording a high of $18.34 and a low of $18.02 and the platinum prices plunged to trade at $1547.90 recording a high of $1554.90 and a low of $1530.90, while the palladium are faintly inclining to trade at $424.50 recording a high of $432.50 and a low of $420.50.

Additionally, gold prices were set in the AM fixing at $1130.75 an ounce and at $1130.25 in the PM fixing and silver prices were set at $18.09 in the AM fixing, while platinum prices were set at $1542.00 in the AM fixing and $1548.00 in the PM fixing and the Palladium prices are set in the AM fixing at $423.00 and at $426.00 in the PM fixing.
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IWAN CAHYO SURYADI
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Wednesday, January 6, 2010

Economic Calendar: US ISM Non-Manufacturing

The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index released by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) shows business conditions in the US non-manufacturing sector. It is worth noting that the non-manufacturing sector does not influence, either positively or negatively, the GDP as much as the ISM Manufacturing does.

A result above 50 is positive (or bullish) for the USD.

Volatility: 2/3


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Topic of The Day: US ADP Employment Change

For your information:

US ADP EMPLOYMENT CHANGE is The Employment Change released by the Automatic Data Processing, Inc is a measure of the change in the number of employed people in the US Generally speaking, a rise in this indicator has positive implications for consumer spending which stimulates economic growth.

Therefore, a high reading is seen as positive, or bullish for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative, or bearish.


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Monday, January 4, 2010

Oil Price Rises Above 80 on Better Macro Outlook but Fundamentals will Play a Key Role in 2010

WTI crude oil extends the 8th day of rally above 80 on speculations for growth in energy demand as US weather remains below-normal.
The February contract surged to as high as 81.16, the highest level since October 26, in European session.

While macro-economic outlook and equity market performance will continue to play a role in driving crude oil price, a stronger emphasis will be placed on fundamentals this year than in 2009.


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Commodity Currencies Strengthen in Manufacturing Day

Commodity currencies take the lead in the first trading day of 2010 and rally broadly, with the help of firmness in crude oil and gold.

Dollar is a touch softer in early European session but remains in range against European majors.

Japanese yen tried to stage recovery earlier today on weakness in Asian stocks but fades as the day goes.

Manufacturing data will be the main focus today with finalized PMI manufacturing data from Eurozone, UK PMI manufacturing and US ISM manufacturing featured.


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